If any candidate from either party were hoping to come into this final weekend flush with momentum, they can all forget it.
Our tracking poll shows both races settling down. Bernie Sanders is now beating Hillary Clinton 55 percent to 41 percent, his support holding steady. Clinton gained a point overnight, edging slightly closer. The tracking poll shows Clinton is still gaining on Sanders, but the pace of her rise has slowed and Sanders leveled off after three days of big drops.
"There’s a big gender gap in the Democratic race," said Dr. Joshua Dyck, UMass Lowell pollster. "Sanders leads by more than 30 percent among men, but just 2% among women. A big change from earlier this week."
Among the Republicans, Donald Trump stays number one, with 35 percent; and picked up a point. Marco Rubio, at 14 percent, lost a point, but keeps second place. Ted Cruz, at 13 percent, also lost a point, but did not lose third place. The biggest GOP changes: John Kasich and Jeb Bush. Both have broken into double digits after both picked up two points overnight.
There were also some changes in the bottom tier. Chris Christie is at four percent, after losing a point since Friday. Ben Carson, three percent after losing one. And no change for Carly Fiorina, who also gets three percent.
The tracking poll shows Trump stopping his slide after two days of losses and both Rubio or Cruz losing some ground. Bush and Kasich, thanks to their increases, are now in the fight for second, or third, place here.
"Reports of Donald Trump’s demise were greatly overexaggerated. This the first day in the poll that he’s gone up. And the first day that Marco Rubio hasn’t," said Dr. Dyck.
For the first time, we also polled Sanders and Clinton against Trump, Rubio and Cruz. The Democrats won every match-up, except one: Republican Marco Rubio beat Democrat Hillary Clinton by a single percentage point.
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