After another dry weekend for much of southern New England, it's now time to track higher humidity and a much more unsettled pattern ahead. While it won't rain all day, each day from Monday - Wednesday, the potential over the next few days is for batches of showers and storms to produce locally heavy rain and perhaps locally strong, gusty winds in any severe thunderstorm that does form.
Tonight, showers and storms that march into western New England will tend to lose some steam moving east, however, a passing shower or storm may find it's way all the way to the coast late this evening and overnight. Storms tonight should remain below severe limits here in eastern Mass, but may be stronger west of Worcester County, where a severe thunderstorm watch is up until 11:00PM.
Monday starts with mostly cloudy skies and a shower or two, but the highest potential for stronger storms and embedding downpours will be in the afternoon and evening as some energy in the atmosphere rolls in to add to the instability. If we get a few breaks of sun midday too, that'll enhance the chance of strong to severe storms in the afternoon thanks to additional daytime heating. With tons of humidity in the air, aside from powerful wind gusts, storms will be capable of producing localized flooding due to heavy rain.
The pattern does not change much through Tuesday, meaning more rounds of showers and storms are likely, some of which may contain strong wind gusts and downpours.
As a cool front finally pushes through on Wednesday, the severe threat is lower due to cooler temps, but the showers and storms remain in the forecast with locally heavy rain possible. Improvements are possible late in the day and likely into the evening as drier weather moves back in.
Over the next few days, 1-3" of rain is the likely range in many towns. Again, it doesn't rain the whole time, but in set-ups like this, some towns can get a lot of water in a short period of time, allowing for localized flooding. We'll also keep an eye to the sky for the potential of severe storms to fire pending the timing of shots of energy in the atmosphere moving in. In past set-ups like this, the severe threat tends to be higher in central and western Mass vs. eastern Mass, but I'd suggest checking in for updates no matter the town. We'll keep you updated on-air, and online, including through twitter.
Lower humidity and sunshine return by Thursday, and should last through Saturday. Perhaps some showers move back in Sunday, but that's just a perhaps at this point.
Hope you all had a great weekend!
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